ANALYSIS
Analysis
Every piece the desk has published, newest first. Each carries a numbered source ledger, confidence stated in controlled language, and the documents it was written from.
NO. 003
The fate of the BTG: the Balan Order’s battalion reached the Donbas before the invasion UKR-RUS · JUL 2026 · NO. 003 · FOLLOWS No. 001 · 13 SOURCES · CASUALTY-UNIT BACK-TEST
DOCUMENTED NO. 002
Eleven hours in Albany: the declassification’s only fraud claim, reconstructed from its own file US — ELECTIONS · JUL 2026 · NO. 002 · 16 SOURCES · 58-DOC RELEASE
HIGH CONF. NO. 001
The Balan Order: what a captured Ukrainian order actually says about pre-invasion Donbas preparations UKR-RUS · FEB 2026 · NO. 001 · 19 SOURCES · 4 ANNOTATED DOCUMENT PAGES
HIGH CONF.